CSX · NASDAQ · STOCK
CSX (CSX) Stock Analysis
$47.25
52W $33.63 – $53.60
55/100
$87.55B
27.3
1.20
Is CSX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates CSX Corporation (CSX) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 24.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Current ratio of 0.81 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 24.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 27.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.81 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 54.8.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.144
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$37.92
Resistance
$52.15
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$47.17
Above
EMA 21
$47.53
Below
EMA 50
$48.23
Below
EMA 200
$44.98
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
26
Growth
82
Profitability
76
Financial Health
29
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.3×
P/B Ratio
6.23×
PEG Ratio
4.45
Dividend Yield
1.16%
52W High
$53.60
52W Low
$33.63
Quality & Growth
ROE
2195.3%
ROA
661.4%
Gross Margin
3528.1%
Operating Margin
3415.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.3 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.2x; PEG ratio of 4.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.0%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 22.2%; Gross margin of 35.3%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.37; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.71); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.3% -> +25.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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