CTVA · NYSE · STOCK
Corteva (CTVA) Stock Analysis
$82.80
52W $60.53 – $90.97
56/100
$55.38B
54.8
0.57
Is CTVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Corteva (CTVA) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.70 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 14 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -26.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 14 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 49.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 25.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 49.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.7 to 55.7.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.626
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$74.44
Resistance
$85.58
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$79.54
Above
EMA 21
$80.01
Above
EMA 50
$80.95
Above
EMA 200
$77.36
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
63
Profitability
37
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
54.8×
P/B Ratio
2.21×
PEG Ratio
-2.05
Dividend Yield
0.87%
52W High
$90.97
52W Low
$60.53
Quality & Growth
ROE
453.1%
ROA
255.3%
Gross Margin
4845.1%
Operating Margin
1707.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 54.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.5%; Return on assets of 2.6%; Net margin of 5.7%; Gross margin of 48.5%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+581.8% -> +53.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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