CTVA · NYSE · STOCK
Corteva (CTVA) Stock Analysis
$13.23
52W $9.08 – $90.97
51/100
$8.85B
8.8
0.58
Is CTVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Corteva (CTVA) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.07 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only 4.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 7 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
− ROE of only 4.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 231.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.7 to 51.1.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 33%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
6.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-6.013
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$27.18
Below
EMA 21
$47.90
Below
EMA 50
$64.87
Below
EMA 200
$74.12
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
63
Profitability
37
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.8×
P/B Ratio
0.35×
PEG Ratio
-0.33
Dividend Yield
4.29%
52W High
$90.97
52W Low
$9.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
453.1%
ROA
255.3%
Gross Margin
4845.1%
Operating Margin
1707.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.4x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.5%; Return on assets of 2.6%; Net margin of 5.7%; Gross margin of 48.5%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+581.8% -> +53.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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