CVE · NYSE · STOCK
Cenovus Energy Inc.
$29.84
52W $14.49 – $32.07
65/100
$55.03B
11.5
0.49
Is CVE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.94 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is revenue declining -10.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 15.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 65.8% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 65.8% YoY
− Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.002
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$24.25
Resistance
$32.07
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.00
Above
EMA 21
$28.52
Above
EMA 50
$27.84
Above
EMA 200
$24.09
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Profitability
47
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.5×
P/B Ratio
2.26×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
1.97%
52W High
$32.07
52W Low
$14.49
Quality & Growth
ROE
1242.8%
ROA
619.6%
Gross Margin
2137.9%
Operating Margin
1935.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 11.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.4%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 12.4%; Gross margin of 21.4%; Current ratio of 1.63 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.06); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Get the Full CVE Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →