CW · NYSE · STOCK
Curtiss-Wright (CW) Stock Analysis
$512.97
52W $501.60 – $808.16
62/100
$18.94B
35.1
0.88
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Curtiss-Wright (CW) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.88 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 19 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 35.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 19 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 22%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 20.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 35.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 19 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 61.9.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 42->52 (+10); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.541
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$463.37
Resistance
$516.84
Bollinger %B
0.08
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$528.96
Below
EMA 21
$547.53
Below
EMA 50
$594.11
Below
EMA 200
$637.52
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
63
Profitability
77
Financial Health
83
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
35.1×
P/B Ratio
6.84×
PEG Ratio
1.55
Dividend Yield
0.20%
52W High
$808.16
52W Low
$501.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
1911.2%
ROA
927.4%
Gross Margin
3772.7%
Operating Margin
1885.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.41
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 35.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.8x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.1%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 14.8%; Gross margin of 37.7%; Current ratio of 1.60 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.41; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.93); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-8.2% -> +6.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.2%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Get the Full CW Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →