DAL · NYSE · STOCK
Delta Air Lines (DAL) Stock Analysis
$82.51
52W $55.03 – $95.68
59/100
$54.24B
13.6
1.31
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DAL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Delta Air Lines (DAL) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.53 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 58.5.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 67% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 62->82 (+20).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 63).
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
31.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.114
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$64.49
Resistance
$95.64
Bollinger %B
0.11
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$84.99
Below
EMA 21
$86.68
Below
EMA 50
$85.57
Below
EMA 200
$74.85
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
60
Profitability
52
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.6×
P/B Ratio
2.47×
PEG Ratio
-1.11
Dividend Yield
0.94%
52W High
$95.68
52W Low
$55.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
2411.7%
ROA
616.5%
Gross Margin
2732.4%
Operating Margin
807.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.92
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.1%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 27.3%; Current ratio of 0.42 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.92; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-58.7% -> +143.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -25.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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