DAL · NYSE · STOCK
Delta Air Lines (DAL) Stock Analysis
$82.16
52W $55.03 – $95.68
54/100
$54.04B
16.3
1.34
Is DAL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Delta Air Lines (DAL) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.94 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 13.2 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 19.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -12.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.40 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 76%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -12.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.40 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.0 to 53.9.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 33%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 62->40 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.027
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$76.01
Resistance
$94.99
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$82.90
Below
EMA 21
$82.62
Below
EMA 50
$82.81
Below
EMA 200
$76.68
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
39
Profitability
52
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.3×
P/B Ratio
2.39×
PEG Ratio
-0.55
Dividend Yield
0.95%
52W High
$95.68
52W Low
$55.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
2411.7%
ROA
616.5%
Gross Margin
2989.5%
Operating Margin
736.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.1%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 4.6%; Gross margin of 29.9%; Current ratio of 0.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.67); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 13.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+143.8% -> +10.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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