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Donaldson (DCI) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026
$87.02
52W $79.61 – $112.84
63/100
$10.08B
22.2
0.87
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
63/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+4.2%
-5.3%
0.79:1
Moderate
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is DCI Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Donaldson Company (DCI) Buy with a composite score of 63/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.51 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 27.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • EPS growing 26.1% YoY — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 19%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst neutral
53 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 26.1% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 60.6 to 62.5.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst joined: bullish at 70.

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
40.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.212
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$82.39
Resistance
$90.64
Bollinger %B
0.43
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$87.74 Below
EMA 21
$88.15 Below
EMA 50
$89.27 Below
EMA 200
$88.56 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
69
Growth
55
Profitability
74
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 22.2×
P/B Ratio 5.71×
PEG Ratio 0.84
Dividend Yield 1.43%
52W High $112.84
52W Low $79.61
Quality & Growth
ROE 2572.0%
ROA 1138.3%
Gross Margin 3463.8%
Operating Margin 1543.9%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.7x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 25.7%; Return on assets of 11.4%; Net margin of 11.7%; Gross margin of 34.6%; Current ratio of 2.08 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+27.7% -> +8.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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