Is DE a buy or sell right now?

Innellis AI committee rates Deere & Company Watch with a composite score of 46/100.

Do analysts agree on DE?

6 AI analysts evaluated Deere & Company, with 50 percent agreement on the overall direction.

What is the near-term upside for DE?

Based on nearby resistance levels, Deere & Company has a near-term technical upside of +8.5 percent. This is a support/resistance measure, not a price target.

DE · NYSE · STOCK

Deere & Company (DE) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026

$620.86

52W $433.00 – $721.22

AI Score

46/100

Market Cap

$167.61B

P/E Ratio

34.4

Beta

0.87

Is DE Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Deere & Company (DE) Watch with a composite score of 46/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy: Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +13.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce: Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.29 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case

ROE of 18.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth

Bear Case

P/E of 36.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Debt-to-equity of 2.46 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
EPS declining -5.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical

Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.

Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026

Overall Committee Score

46/100

Agreement

50%

Analysts

Conviction

Contested

Sector Rank

Top 97%

of 227 Industrials peers

Value Analyst neutral

45 / 100 · High confidence

Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced

+ ROE of 18.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation

− P/E of 36.0 is moderate-to-rich

Growth Analyst neutral

44 / 100 · High confidence

Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable

+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution

− EPS declining -5.9% YoY despite any revenue growth

Technical Analyst bearish

38 / 100 · High confidence

Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name

− RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)

Risk Analyst bearish

32 / 100 · Moderate confidence

Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly

− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario

Macro Analyst bullish

65 / 100 · Low confidence

Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor

News Analyst neutral

53 / 100 · Low confidence

News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now

Portfolio Manager bearish

30 / 100 · Moderate confidence

The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks

− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)

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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 48.0 to 46.3.

Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.

Analyst-level changes:

Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->38 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)

20.1

Oversold

MACD Histogram

-8.242

Bearish Momentum

Trend Direction

Sideways

Weekly: Uptrend

Market Structure

Hh Hl

Support

$579.50

Resistance

$673.87

Bollinger %B

-0.25

Below Lower Band

Price vs Moving Averages

EMA 9

$662.13 Below

EMA 21

$669.43 Below

EMA 50

$655.67 Below

EMA 200

$596.30 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation

Growth

Profitability

Financial Health

Cash Flow

Valuation

P/E Ratio 34.4×

P/B Ratio 5.99×

PEG Ratio -5.79

Dividend Yield 1.04%

52W High $721.22

52W Low $433.00

Quality & Growth

ROE 1937.2%

ROA 474.3%

Gross Margin 3574.1%

Operating Margin 1897.4%

Revenue Growth YoY —

Debt / Equity 2.29

AI Fundamental Assessment

P/E ratio of 34.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.0x; PEG ratio of -5.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.4%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 10.2%; Gross margin of 35.7%; Current ratio of 0.77 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.33); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.4%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+170.7% -> -22.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters

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