DINO · NYSE · STOCK
HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock Analysis
$121.32
52W $45.71 – $124.22
61/100
$21.57B
11.5
0.71
Is DINO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates HF Sinclair (DINO) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.61 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 19.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 82 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 76 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -10.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 82 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.6 to 60.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
82.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.688
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.41
Above
EMA 21
$111.31
Above
EMA 50
$103.19
Above
EMA 200
$79.01
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
95
Profitability
24
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.5×
P/B Ratio
2.12×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
1.67%
52W High
$124.22
52W Low
$45.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
630.4%
ROA
346.1%
Gross Margin
1278.0%
Operating Margin
859.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.3%; Return on assets of 3.5%; Net margin of 6.1%; Gross margin of 12.8%; Current ratio of 1.97 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 15.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-42.5% -> +669.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 212.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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