DNOW · NYSE · STOCK
Dnow (DNOW) Stock Analysis
$15.56
52W $10.94 – $17.26
66/100
$2.84B
-14.6
0.89
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DNOW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dnow Inc. (DNOW) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 69.8% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 69.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.20) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only -10.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -10.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 69.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.20) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.0 to 66.0.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.037
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$13.93
Resistance
$16.20
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$15.65
Below
EMA 21
$15.70
Below
EMA 50
$15.44
Above
EMA 200
$14.42
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
48
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-14.6×
P/B Ratio
1.35×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$17.26
52W Low
$10.94
Quality & Growth
ROE
-397.7%
ROA
-226.8%
Gross Margin
1589.5%
Operating Margin
-279.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -14.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -4.0%; Return on assets of -2.3%; Net margin of -4.6%; Gross margin of 15.9%; Current ratio of 2.14 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.75); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-93.3% -> +1100.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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