DOV · NYSE · STOCK
Dover (DOV) Stock Analysis
$188.74
52W $158.97 – $237.54
58/100
$25.43B
22.6
1.13
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DOV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dover Corporation (DOV) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.40 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -49.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -49.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 58.4.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.577
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$183.47
Resistance
$192.18
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$189.34
Below
EMA 21
$190.33
Below
EMA 50
$195.44
Below
EMA 200
$202.56
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
65
Profitability
68
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.6×
P/B Ratio
3.30×
PEG Ratio
-0.45
Dividend Yield
1.10%
52W High
$237.54
52W Low
$158.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
1477.3%
ROA
815.0%
Gross Margin
3958.3%
Operating Margin
1686.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.3x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.8%; Return on assets of 8.2%; Net margin of 13.5%; Gross margin of 39.6%; Current ratio of 1.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.71); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-9.2% -> +20.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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