DOV · NYSE · STOCK
Dover (DOV) Stock Analysis
$206.63
52W $158.97 – $237.54
62/100
$27.89B
24.8
1.16
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DOV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dover Corporation (DOV) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.39 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is eps declining -49.9% yoy despite any revenue growth. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- EPS declining -49.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -49.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.3 to 62.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.457
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$204.68
Resistance
$207.51
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$207.94
Below
EMA 21
$208.82
Below
EMA 50
$211.56
Below
EMA 200
$207.40
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
65
Profitability
68
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.8×
P/B Ratio
3.62×
PEG Ratio
-0.50
Dividend Yield
1.00%
52W High
$237.54
52W Low
$158.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
1477.3%
ROA
815.0%
Gross Margin
3958.3%
Operating Margin
1686.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.8%; Return on assets of 8.2%; Net margin of 13.5%; Gross margin of 39.6%; Current ratio of 1.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.71); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-9.2% -> +20.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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