DOW · NYSE · STOCK
Dow (DOW) Stock Analysis
$32.34
52W $20.65 – $42.74
67/100
$23.37B
-17.9
0.42
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DOW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dow Inc. (DOW) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.44 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.56 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (89.9) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 17.1% downside vs 0.1% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 59.8 to 66.6.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 60% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 60->82 (+22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 55).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.286
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$26.81
Resistance
$32.38
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.55
Above
EMA 21
$30.93
Above
EMA 50
$31.23
Above
EMA 200
$31.77
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
83
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-17.9×
P/B Ratio
0.94×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
4.33%
52W High
$42.74
52W Low
$20.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1638.6%
ROA
-448.1%
Gross Margin
978.7%
Operating Margin
-8.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -17.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -16.4%; Return on assets of -4.5%; Net margin of -2.9%; Gross margin of 9.8%; Current ratio of 11.07 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+58.8% -> +1128.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 442.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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