DOW · NYSE · STOCK
Dow (DOW) Stock Analysis
$29.68
52W $20.93 – $42.74
60/100
$20.59B
-15.8
0.41
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DOW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dow Inc. (DOW) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.16 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.84 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.4% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 62.8 to 59.8.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.178
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$26.81
Resistance
$31.16
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.46
Above
EMA 21
$28.58
Above
EMA 50
$29.34
Above
EMA 200
$30.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
83
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-15.8×
P/B Ratio
0.83×
PEG Ratio
0.12
Dividend Yield
4.91%
52W High
$42.74
52W Low
$20.93
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1638.6%
ROA
-448.1%
Gross Margin
978.7%
Operating Margin
-8.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -15.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -16.4%; Return on assets of -4.5%; Net margin of -2.9%; Gross margin of 9.8%; Current ratio of 11.07 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+58.8% -> +1128.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 442.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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