DUK · NYSE · STOCK
Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Analysis
$121.93
52W $113.90 – $134.49
51/100
$93.43B
18.0
0.37
Is DUK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Duke Energy (DUK) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 56 Utilities peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.5 to 51.5.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 50).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.311
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$119.78
Resistance
$121.20
Bollinger %B
0.02
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$122.92
Below
EMA 21
$124.07
Below
EMA 50
$125.01
Below
EMA 200
$124.41
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
50
Profitability
63
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.0×
P/B Ratio
1.71×
PEG Ratio
2.04
Dividend Yield
3.57%
52W High
$134.49
52W Low
$113.90
Quality & Growth
ROE
958.3%
ROA
253.8%
Gross Margin
6819.1%
Operating Margin
2760.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.6%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 15.7%; Gross margin of 68.2%; Current ratio of 0.66 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.67; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.98); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+28.7% -> -25.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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