DUK · NYSE · STOCK
Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Analysis
$116.66
52W $112.40 – $134.49
49/100
$90.94B
17.5
0.34
Is DUK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Duke Energy (DUK) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.39 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.5% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.73 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.73) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.5% pays you to wait
− Debt-to-equity of 1.73 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.73) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.7 to 49.4.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 55->60 (+4).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.515
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$113.89
Resistance
$118.28
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.50
Above
EMA 21
$116.22
Above
EMA 50
$118.89
Below
EMA 200
$122.41
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
50
Profitability
63
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
1.66×
PEG Ratio
1.99
Dividend Yield
3.67%
52W High
$134.49
52W Low
$112.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
958.3%
ROA
253.8%
Gross Margin
6819.1%
Operating Margin
2760.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.6%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 15.7%; Gross margin of 68.2%; Current ratio of 0.66 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.67; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.49); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+28.7% -> -25.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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