ECG · NYSE · STOCK
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
$134.56
52W $70.93 – $171.58
61/100
$6.86B
27.0
2.47
Is ECG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.18 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 29.7% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 24.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 29.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 46.9% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 29.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.570
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$79.48
Resistance
$137.58
Bollinger %B
0.59
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.63
Above
EMA 21
$134.19
Above
EMA 50
$137.90
Below
EMA 200
$121.12
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Profitability
57
Financial Health
83
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.0×
P/B Ratio
8.88×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$171.58
52W Low
$70.93
Quality & Growth
ROE
3203.6%
ROA
1167.2%
Gross Margin
1301.6%
Operating Margin
775.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 27.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 32.0%; Return on assets of 11.7%; Net margin of 6.0%; Gross margin of 13.0%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.90); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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