EMBJ · NYSE · STOCK
Embraer S.A.
$71.37
52W $53.56 – $80.75
53/100
$13.10B
39.9
0.72
Is EMBJ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 39.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -22.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 39.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -22.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.299
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$59.82
Resistance
$71.56
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.19
Above
EMA 21
$68.86
Above
EMA 50
$65.82
Above
EMA 200
$62.90
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Profitability
24
Financial Health
69
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.9×
P/B Ratio
3.90×
PEG Ratio
-1.74
Dividend Yield
1.09%
52W High
$80.75
52W Low
$53.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
1021.6%
ROA
272.4%
Gross Margin
1770.8%
Operating Margin
748.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 39.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.2%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 17.7%; Current ratio of 1.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.07); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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