EMBJ · NYSE · STOCK
Embraer (EMBJ) Stock Analysis
$71.03
52W $53.56 – $80.75
57/100
$13.06B
27.6
0.72
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EMBJ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.33 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 27.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 57.3.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 67% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.722
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$59.82
Resistance
$71.56
Bollinger %B
0.00
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$73.43
Below
EMA 21
$74.27
Below
EMA 50
$73.02
Below
EMA 200
$66.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
47
Growth
48
Profitability
26
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.6×
P/B Ratio
3.57×
PEG Ratio
2.51
Dividend Yield
1.37%
52W High
$80.75
52W Low
$53.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
1021.6%
ROA
272.4%
Gross Margin
1786.7%
Operating Margin
829.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of 2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.2%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 5.3%; Gross margin of 17.9%; Current ratio of 1.44 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (29.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 39.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-66.7% -> +715.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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