EMR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Emerson Electric
$158.43
52W $122.64 – $165.15
65/100
$88.64B
34.5
1.24
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EMR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Emerson Electric (EMR) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.59 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.41 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 23.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 44 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 158 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 44 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 56.3 to 65.4.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 80%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 48->85 (+37).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.550
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$128.19
Resistance
$165.09
Bollinger %B
0.84
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$154.49
Above
EMA 21
$149.32
Above
EMA 50
$145.05
Above
EMA 200
$139.62
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
67
Profitability
66
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
34.5×
P/B Ratio
4.34×
PEG Ratio
-20.13
Dividend Yield
1.39%
52W High
$165.15
52W Low
$122.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
1130.6%
ROA
546.4%
Gross Margin
5316.1%
Operating Margin
2011.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.64
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of -20.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of 5.5%; Net margin of 13.8%; Gross margin of 53.2%; Current ratio of 0.90 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.64; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.51); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; EPS growth accelerating (+5.5% -> +11.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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