ESLT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Elbit Systems Ltd.
$775.96
52W $432.85 – $1016.06
60/100
$36.36B
60.7
-0.23
Is ESLT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 50%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.572
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$746.36
Resistance
$915.75
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$824.54
Below
EMA 21
$810.38
Below
EMA 50
$802.96
Below
EMA 200
$729.33
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Profitability
39
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
60.7×
P/B Ratio
8.50×
PEG Ratio
0.99
Dividend Yield
0.45%
52W High
$1016.06
52W Low
$432.85
Quality & Growth
ROE
1293.7%
ROA
421.9%
Gross Margin
2469.8%
Operating Margin
883.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 60.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.5x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 7.1%; Gross margin of 24.7%; Current ratio of 1.41 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.19); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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