ESLT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Elbit Systems (ESLT) Stock Analysis
$703.39
52W $453.00 – $1016.06
60/100
$32.95B
51.1
-0.23
Is ESLT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 56.1% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 56.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 56.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 56.1% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.7 to 59.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-4.199
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$653.05
Resistance
$876.51
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$715.13
Below
EMA 21
$740.13
Below
EMA 50
$766.66
Below
EMA 200
$730.56
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
35
Growth
80
Profitability
39
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.1×
P/B Ratio
7.69×
PEG Ratio
0.95
Dividend Yield
0.50%
52W High
$1016.06
52W Low
$453.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1293.7%
ROA
421.9%
Gross Margin
2502.8%
Operating Margin
921.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.7x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 7.4%; Gross margin of 25.0%; Current ratio of 1.39 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.40); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+8.7% -> +7.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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