ESLT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Elbit Systems (ESLT) Stock Analysis
$656.00
52W $453.00 – $1016.06
57/100
$30.72B
47.9
-0.23
Is ESLT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.29 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 50.2% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 50.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 49.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 49.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 50.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.5 to 57.3.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 47->58 (+11).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-5.241
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$653.05
Resistance
$876.51
Bollinger %B
0.03
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$684.43
Below
EMA 21
$704.32
Below
EMA 50
$730.98
Below
EMA 200
$726.86
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
80
Profitability
39
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
47.9×
P/B Ratio
7.20×
PEG Ratio
0.89
Dividend Yield
0.52%
52W High
$1016.06
52W Low
$453.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1293.7%
ROA
421.9%
Gross Margin
2502.8%
Operating Margin
921.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 47.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.2x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 7.4%; Gross margin of 25.0%; Current ratio of 1.39 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.40); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+8.7% -> +7.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full ESLT Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →