FANG · NASDAQ · STOCK
Diamondback Energy (FANG) Stock Analysis
$192.10
52W $137.03 – $216.90
53/100
$54.05B
37.5
0.41
Is FANG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Diamondback Energy (FANG) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.11 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.89 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 6.6% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -63.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.42 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 36.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -63.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.42 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 52.9.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.721
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$185.11
Resistance
$200.41
Bollinger %B
0.58
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$187.92
Above
EMA 21
$190.11
Above
EMA 50
$193.33
Below
EMA 200
$185.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
63
Profitability
38
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.5×
P/B Ratio
1.43×
PEG Ratio
-0.59
Dividend Yield
2.21%
52W High
$216.90
52W Low
$137.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
450.1%
ROA
234.2%
Gross Margin
4445.7%
Operating Margin
2768.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.5%; Return on assets of 2.3%; Net margin of 9.3%; Gross margin of 44.5%; Current ratio of 0.47 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.33; Free cash flow per share is positive (23.10); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+143.1% -> +53.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 142.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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