FBIN · NYSE · STOCK
Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) Stock Analysis
$40.02
52W $32.34 – $64.84
48/100
$4.72B
32.2
1.37
Is FBIN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.38 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 31.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Revenue declining -2.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -61.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 31.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -2.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.4 to 48.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.094
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$36.10
Resistance
$42.56
Bollinger %B
0.22
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.32
Below
EMA 21
$42.19
Below
EMA 50
$44.38
Below
EMA 200
$46.99
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Growth
77
Profitability
47
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.2×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
-0.52
Dividend Yield
2.60%
52W High
$64.84
52W Low
$32.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
1250.9%
ROA
458.2%
Gross Margin
4558.2%
Operating Margin
701.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.5%; Return on assets of 4.6%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 45.6%; Current ratio of 2.01 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.35); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 65.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-38.4% -> +154.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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