FCN · NYSE · STOCK
FTI Consulting (FCN) Stock Analysis
$135.86
52W $129.12 – $189.30
60/100
$3.76B
16.6
-0.04
Is FCN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates FTI Consulting (FCN) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.55 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 59.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: score 65->70 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.766
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$133.90
Resistance
$146.76
Bollinger %B
0.39
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$137.48
Below
EMA 21
$139.57
Below
EMA 50
$145.12
Below
EMA 200
$157.33
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
63
Profitability
54
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.6×
P/B Ratio
3.21×
PEG Ratio
1.22
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$189.30
52W Low
$129.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
1562.4%
ROA
776.0%
Gross Margin
3177.3%
Operating Margin
970.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.6%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 6.4%; Gross margin of 31.8%; Current ratio of 2.03 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.95; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.20); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+6.7% -> +13.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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