FCN · NYSE · STOCK
FTI Consulting (FCN) Stock Analysis
$149.68
52W $137.65 – $189.30
62/100
$4.19B
18.5
-0.04
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FCN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates FTI Consulting (FCN) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.36 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is negative (-0.17 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.17 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.4 to 62.4.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.936
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$149.42
Resistance
$153.67
Bollinger %B
0.25
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$153.59
Below
EMA 21
$155.52
Below
EMA 50
$156.92
Below
EMA 200
$163.62
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
63
Profitability
54
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.5×
P/B Ratio
3.58×
PEG Ratio
1.36
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$189.30
52W Low
$137.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
1562.4%
ROA
776.0%
Gross Margin
3177.3%
Operating Margin
970.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.6%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 6.4%; Gross margin of 31.8%; Current ratio of 2.03 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.95; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.20); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+6.7% -> +13.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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