FDXF · NYSE · STOCK
FedEx Freight (FDXF) Stock Analysis
$115.62
52W $107.67 – $200.00
58/100
$17.26B
29.8
—
Is FDXF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FedEx Freight (FDXF) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.36 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.64 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 82.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 82.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 57.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.932
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$114.10
Above
EMA 21
$117.34
Below
EMA 50
$126.43
Below
EMA 200
$142.49
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
80
Profitability
37
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.8×
P/B Ratio
-34.74×
PEG Ratio
-0.53
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$200.00
52W Low
$107.67
Quality & Growth
ROE
-13179.1%
ROA
951.5%
Gross Margin
2838.0%
Operating Margin
614.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-12.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 29.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -34.7x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -131.8%; Return on assets of 9.5%; Net margin of 6.3%; Gross margin of 28.4%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -12.81; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.42); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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