FDXF · NYSE · STOCK
FedEx Freight (FDXF) Stock Analysis
$137.39
52W $132.87 – $200.00
59/100
$20.53B
35.5
—
Is FDXF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FedEx Freight (FDXF) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 108.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 108.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 59.2.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.414
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$140.83
Below
EMA 21
$143.61
Below
EMA 50
$147.83
Below
EMA 200
$151.18
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Profitability
37
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
35.5×
P/B Ratio
-41.31×
PEG Ratio
-0.63
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$200.00
52W Low
$132.87
Quality & Growth
ROE
-13179.1%
ROA
951.5%
Gross Margin
2857.1%
Operating Margin
618.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-12.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 35.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -41.3x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -131.8%; Return on assets of 9.5%; Net margin of 6.3%; Gross margin of 28.6%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -12.81; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.42); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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