FPS · NYSE · STOCK
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
$37.73
52W $25.95 – $66.00
53/100
$9.81B
—
3.94
Is FPS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.63 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.37 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 261.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.63 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 261.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 34.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
20
/ 100 · Low confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 261.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 34.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.871
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Support
$27.28
Resistance
$65.56
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$37.37
Above
EMA 21
$38.93
Below
EMA 50
$42.45
Below
EMA 200
$38.68
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Profitability
15
Financial Health
58
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
25.72×
PEG Ratio
55.69
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$66.00
52W Low
$25.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
405.7%
ROA
98.9%
Gross Margin
3098.1%
Operating Margin
716.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 8772.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 25.7x; PEG ratio of 55.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.1%; Return on assets of 1.0%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 31.0%; Current ratio of 1.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.58; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.31); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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