FTAI · NASDAQ · STOCK
FTAI Aviation Ltd.
$225.71
52W $136.85 – $323.51
58/100
$23.14B
48.4
1.51
Is FTAI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.748
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$221.85
Resistance
$287.67
Bollinger %B
0.84
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$218.21
Above
EMA 21
$219.26
Above
EMA 50
$228.78
Below
EMA 200
$223.14
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Profitability
76
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
48.4×
P/B Ratio
57.29×
PEG Ratio
3.34
Dividend Yield
0.66%
52W High
$323.51
52W Low
$136.85
Quality & Growth
ROE
14994.1%
ROA
1145.6%
Gross Margin
3039.4%
Operating Margin
2676.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
8.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 48.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 57.3x; PEG ratio of 3.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 149.9%; Return on assets of 11.5%; Net margin of 15.9%; Gross margin of 30.4%; Current ratio of 5.28 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 8.55; Free cash flow per share is negative (-12.20); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Get the Full FTAI Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →