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FWONK · NASDAQ · STOCK

Liberty Media (FWONK) Stock Analysis

Communication Services Updated September 06, 2026
$95.56
52W $80.15 – $109.36
57/100
$23.93B
48.0
0.65
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
57/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
+0.4%
-1.0%
0.43:1
Contested

Is FWONK Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Liberty Media Corporation (FWONK) Watch with a composite score of 57/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated September 06, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.17 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 35.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 40.3 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 35.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
  • P/E of 40.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst bearish
25 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 40.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 35.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 57.2 to 57.2.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
23.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.153
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$94.62
Resistance
$95.97
Bollinger %B
-0.03
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$99.04 Below
EMA 21
$100.35 Below
EMA 50
$98.89 Below
EMA 200
$94.73 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
59
Growth
62
Profitability
39
Financial Health
66
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 48.0×
P/B Ratio 2.90×
PEG Ratio 0.62
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $109.36
52W Low $80.15
Quality & Growth
ROE 715.5%
ROA 360.4%
Gross Margin 3281.9%
Operating Margin 1233.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 48.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.2%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 10.6%; Gross margin of 32.8%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.14); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 91.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-92.3% -> -33.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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