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FWONK · NASDAQ · STOCK

Liberty Media (FWONK) Stock Analysis

Communication Services Updated October 10, 2026
$94.06
52W $80.15 – $107.31
55/100
$23.57B
47.1
0.68
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
+2.0%
-4.0%
0.50:1
Contested

Is FWONK Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Liberty Media Corporation (FWONK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.69 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 109.8 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 109.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only 2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • EPS declining -22.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst bearish
27 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 109.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst neutral
57 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -22.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
67 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.7.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
46.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.333
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$90.27
Resistance
$95.97
Bollinger %B
0.45
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$94.35 Below
EMA 21
$94.94 Below
EMA 50
$96.15 Below
EMA 200
$94.69 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
60
Growth
61
Profitability
39
Financial Health
66
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 47.1×
P/B Ratio 2.84×
PEG Ratio 0.61
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $107.31
52W Low $80.15
Quality & Growth
ROE 715.5%
ROA 360.4%
Gross Margin 3281.9%
Operating Margin 1233.0%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 47.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.2%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 10.6%; Gross margin of 32.8%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.14); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 92.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-92.3% -> -33.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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