GHC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Graham Holdings
$1,186.24
52W $929.76 – $1262.35
59/100
$5.12B
9.5
0.72
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is GHC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Graham Holdings (GHC) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.36 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.64 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 17 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 64.7 to 58.6.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 83% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 32->35 (+3).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 80).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 77).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.596
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$1043.92
Resistance
$1189.02
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,198.34
Below
EMA 21
$1,187.51
Below
EMA 50
$1,166.10
Above
EMA 200
$1,110.14
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
71
Profitability
35
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.5×
P/B Ratio
1.06×
PEG Ratio
-0.49
Dividend Yield
0.63%
52W High
$1262.35
52W Low
$929.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
609.7%
ROA
348.1%
Gross Margin
2882.0%
Operating Margin
580.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.1%; Return on assets of 3.5%; Net margin of 10.7%; Gross margin of 28.8%; Current ratio of 1.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (56.34); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 29.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+46.6% -> +15.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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