GHC · NYSE · STOCK
Graham Holdings (GHC) Stock Analysis
$1,136.27
52W $929.76 – $1262.35
51/100
$4.85B
9.0
0.72
Is GHC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Graham Holdings (GHC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.46 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
Insufficient data for bull case.
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 59.9 to 51.5.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 32->35 (+3).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 80).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 77).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-7.067
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$1115.94
Resistance
$1186.17
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,136.18
Above
EMA 21
$1,154.56
Below
EMA 50
$1,160.01
Below
EMA 200
$1,118.44
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
71
Profitability
35
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.0×
P/B Ratio
1.01×
PEG Ratio
-0.47
Dividend Yield
0.66%
52W High
$1262.35
52W Low
$929.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
609.7%
ROA
348.1%
Gross Margin
2882.0%
Operating Margin
580.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.1%; Return on assets of 3.5%; Net margin of 10.7%; Gross margin of 28.8%; Current ratio of 1.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (56.34); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 29.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+46.6% -> +15.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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