GWW · NASDAQ · STOCK
W. W. Grainger
$1,290.80
52W $906.52 – $1419.91
51/100
$60.32B
32.6
1.05
Is GWW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates W. W. Grainger (GWW) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.33 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -0.7% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 38 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 38 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.9 to 51.3.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-14.613
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
-0.01
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,320.90
Below
EMA 21
$1,341.46
Below
EMA 50
$1,323.04
Below
EMA 200
$1,188.08
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
43
Growth
62
Profitability
75
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.6×
P/B Ratio
14.63×
PEG Ratio
-33.95
Dividend Yield
0.74%
52W High
$1419.91
52W Low
$906.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
4566.4%
ROA
1903.6%
Gross Margin
3939.5%
Operating Margin
1456.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.6x; PEG ratio of -33.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 45.7%; Return on assets of 19.0%; Net margin of 9.9%; Gross margin of 39.4%; Current ratio of 2.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (31.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+23.4% -> +3.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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