GWW · NYSE · STOCK
W. W. Grainger (GWW) Stock Analysis
$1,289.88
52W $906.52 – $1419.91
57/100
$60.89B
32.9
1.01
Is GWW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates W. W. Grainger (GWW) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 57.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 66->69 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.952
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$1269.17
Resistance
$1418.34
Bollinger %B
0.91
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,273.88
Above
EMA 21
$1,275.49
Above
EMA 50
$1,288.02
Above
EMA 200
$1,223.18
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
43
Growth
62
Profitability
75
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.9×
P/B Ratio
14.77×
PEG Ratio
-34.27
Dividend Yield
0.74%
52W High
$1419.91
52W Low
$906.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
4566.4%
ROA
1903.6%
Gross Margin
3939.5%
Operating Margin
1456.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.8x; PEG ratio of -34.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 45.7%; Return on assets of 19.0%; Net margin of 9.9%; Gross margin of 39.4%; Current ratio of 2.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (31.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+23.4% -> +3.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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