GWW · NYSE · STOCK
W. W. Grainger (GWW) Stock Analysis
$1,321.93
52W $906.52 – $1419.91
51/100
$61.95B
33.4
1.05
Is GWW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates W. W. Grainger (GWW) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.53 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.47 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -0.7% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -0.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.1 to 51.5.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 67->64 (-3); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.577
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$1035.90
Resistance
$1418.34
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,313.46
Above
EMA 21
$1,322.25
Below
EMA 50
$1,318.90
Above
EMA 200
$1,200.89
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
62
Profitability
75
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.4×
P/B Ratio
15.03×
PEG Ratio
-34.87
Dividend Yield
0.72%
52W High
$1419.91
52W Low
$906.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
4566.4%
ROA
1903.6%
Gross Margin
3939.5%
Operating Margin
1456.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.0x; PEG ratio of -34.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 45.7%; Return on assets of 19.0%; Net margin of 9.9%; Gross margin of 39.4%; Current ratio of 2.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (31.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+23.4% -> +3.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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