GXO · NASDAQ · STOCK
GXO Logistics
$48.23
52W $45.40 – $66.85
53/100
$5.55B
41.8
1.55
Is GXO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates GXO Logistics (GXO) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 114.0% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 42.2 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 114.0% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.58 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 42.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 42.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 114.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.8 to 53.2.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 40% to 33%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 82->72 (-10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.628
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$48.16
Resistance
$52.98
Bollinger %B
0.14
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$49.77
Below
EMA 21
$50.73
Below
EMA 50
$51.08
Below
EMA 200
$52.12
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
65
Growth
74
Profitability
3
Financial Health
11
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.8×
P/B Ratio
1.86×
PEG Ratio
0.37
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$66.85
52W Low
$45.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
107.3%
ROA
26.1%
Gross Margin
1353.3%
Operating Margin
301.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.1%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 1.0%; Gross margin of 13.5%; Current ratio of 0.79 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.57); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.4%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-42.5% -> +18.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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