HL · NYSE · STOCK
Hecla Mining (HL) Stock Analysis
$18.59
52W $10.91 – $34.17
54/100
$12.31B
36.7
1.38
Is HL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Hecla Mining (HL) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 51.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 214.4% YoY — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 36.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 51.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (3d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 54.1.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.369
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$16.27
Resistance
$21.29
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$19.05
Below
EMA 21
$19.22
Below
EMA 50
$18.45
Above
EMA 200
$17.18
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
59
Profitability
86
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
36.7×
P/B Ratio
4.60×
PEG Ratio
0.06
Dividend Yield
0.08%
52W High
$34.17
52W Low
$10.91
Quality & Growth
ROE
1241.3%
ROA
903.5%
Gross Margin
5605.3%
Operating Margin
4680.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.4%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 20.8%; Gross margin of 56.1%; Current ratio of 5.20 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.77); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 14.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+13.6% -> -20.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 150.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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