HP · NYSE · STOCK
Helmerich & Payne (HP) Stock Analysis
$37.19
52W $22.62 – $48.17
60/100
$3.91B
-27.9
0.69
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is HP Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 17 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 17 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -5.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -5.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 60.2.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: score 70->66 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.048
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$32.77
Resistance
$41.77
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$39.16
Below
EMA 21
$39.69
Below
EMA 50
$39.85
Below
EMA 200
$36.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
44
Profitability
0
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-27.9×
P/B Ratio
1.52×
PEG Ratio
0.21
Dividend Yield
2.56%
52W High
$48.17
52W Low
$22.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
-605.9%
ROA
-246.2%
Gross Margin
1049.0%
Operating Margin
606.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -27.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -6.1%; Return on assets of -2.5%; Net margin of -3.4%; Gross margin of 10.5%; Current ratio of 1.96 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.16); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 185.3%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-153.3% -> +71.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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