HTZ · NASDAQ · STOCK
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) Stock Analysis
$1.92
52W $1.45 – $8.18
52/100
$606.21M
-2.2
2.48
Is HTZ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -204.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 106.76 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 106.76) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 7.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 106.76) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.3 to 51.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.038
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$1.46
Resistance
$2.94
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1.89
Above
EMA 21
$1.90
Above
EMA 50
$2.12
Below
EMA 200
$3.59
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
89
Profitability
25
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-2.2×
P/B Ratio
-0.97×
PEG Ratio
-0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$8.18
52W Low
$1.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
16274.5%
ROA
-334.8%
Gross Margin
1414.8%
Operating Margin
279.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-33.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -2.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 162.7%; Return on assets of -3.3%; Net margin of -3.1%; Gross margin of 14.1%; Current ratio of 1.53 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -33.58; Free cash flow per share is negative (-26.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 55.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-14.3% -> +84.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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