IMO · AMEX · STOCK
Imperial Oil (IMO) Stock Analysis
$123.15
52W $83.27 – $139.44
62/100
$60.26B
19.6
0.81
Is IMO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.90 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- EPS declining -6.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -6.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.9 to 61.9.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.154
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$118.61
Resistance
$132.83
Bollinger %B
0.36
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$123.10
Above
EMA 21
$125.07
Below
EMA 50
$126.62
Below
EMA 200
$118.85
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
74
Profitability
47
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.6×
P/B Ratio
3.46×
PEG Ratio
-12.75
Dividend Yield
1.89%
52W High
$139.44
52W Low
$83.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
1468.5%
ROA
772.4%
Gross Margin
1759.6%
Operating Margin
1005.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of -12.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.7%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 7.8%; Gross margin of 17.6%; Current ratio of 1.38 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-1.5% -> +133.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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