JOBY · NYSE · STOCK
Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Analysis
$6.09
52W $6.10 – $19.98
48/100
$6.03B
-6.2
2.68
Is JOBY Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 227 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 54.8 to 47.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 60->35 (-25).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 43).
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.057
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$4.96
Resistance
$9.07
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6.50
Below
EMA 21
$6.89
Below
EMA 50
$7.52
Below
EMA 200
$9.51
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
15
Profitability
3
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.2×
P/B Ratio
3.37×
PEG Ratio
2.89
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$19.98
52W Low
$6.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
-6596.0%
ROA
-5180.0%
Gross Margin
2477.6%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -6.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.4x; PEG ratio of 2.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -66.0%; Return on assets of -51.8%; Net margin of -755.1%; Gross margin of 24.8%; Current ratio of 17.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.00); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.9%; EPS growth decelerating (+14.3% -> -108.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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