JOBY · NYSE · STOCK
Joby Aviation, Inc.
$8.44
52W $6.63 – $19.98
58/100
$8.28B
-8.5
2.70
Is JOBY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.84 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.16 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.237
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$7.75
Resistance
$12.47
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$8.12
Above
EMA 21
$7.96
Above
EMA 50
$8.43
Above
EMA 200
$10.17
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Profitability
3
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-8.5×
P/B Ratio
4.62×
PEG Ratio
3.97
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$19.98
52W Low
$6.63
Quality & Growth
ROE
-6596.0%
ROA
-5180.0%
Gross Margin
2477.6%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -8.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of 4.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -66.0%; Return on assets of -51.8%; Net margin of -755.1%; Gross margin of 24.8%; Current ratio of 17.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.00); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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