KGS · NYSE · STOCK
Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) Stock Analysis
$53.43
52W $32.55 – $77.68
48/100
$5.40B
60.8
0.94
Is KGS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.24 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.76 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 67.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.13 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -6.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.13) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.84 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bearish
37
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 67.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -6.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.13) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.6 to 47.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 67->62 (-5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.187
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$32.68
Resistance
$77.00
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$54.08
Below
EMA 21
$55.38
Below
EMA 50
$58.19
Below
EMA 200
$57.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
28
Profitability
33
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
60.8×
P/B Ratio
2.36×
PEG Ratio
-13.98
Dividend Yield
3.67%
52W High
$77.68
52W Low
$32.55
Quality & Growth
ROE
666.9%
ROA
186.5%
Gross Margin
4009.5%
Operating Margin
3219.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 60.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -14.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.7%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 40.1%; Current ratio of 1.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.05); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 19.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+50.0% -> -8.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full KGS Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →