KGS · NYSE · STOCK
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$61.05
52W $32.55 – $77.68
54/100
$6.17B
69.4
0.82
Is KGS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.13) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 37.8% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 91.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.13 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.13) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.84 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bearish
37
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait
− P/E of 91.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 37.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.13) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.423
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$32.68
Resistance
$77.00
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.81
Above
EMA 21
$61.43
Below
EMA 50
$64.03
Below
EMA 200
$56.65
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Profitability
33
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
69.4×
P/B Ratio
2.69×
PEG Ratio
-15.97
Dividend Yield
3.14%
52W High
$77.68
52W Low
$32.55
Quality & Growth
ROE
666.9%
ROA
186.5%
Gross Margin
4009.5%
Operating Margin
3219.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 69.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of -16.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.7%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 40.1%; Current ratio of 1.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.05); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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