KMT · NYSE · STOCK
Kennametal (KMT) Stock Analysis
$30.47
52W $20.98 – $43.81
61/100
$2.39B
7.0
1.32
Is KMT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.26 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 268.2% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 24.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 268.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 27%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 268.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.8 to 61.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.036
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$28.76
Resistance
$37.54
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.58
Below
EMA 21
$31.30
Below
EMA 50
$31.43
Below
EMA 200
$32.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
94
Profitability
81
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.0×
P/B Ratio
1.52×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
2.55%
52W High
$43.81
52W Low
$20.98
Quality & Growth
ROE
2181.0%
ROA
1081.2%
Gross Margin
4105.5%
Operating Margin
2031.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.49
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.8%; Return on assets of 10.8%; Net margin of 14.5%; Gross margin of 41.1%; Current ratio of 2.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.49; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.06); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+63.8% -> +284.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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