KMT · NYSE · STOCK
Kennametal Inc.
$30.26
52W $20.17 – $43.81
59/100
$2.30B
6.7
1.36
Is KMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 24.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.5% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 268.2% YoY — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 268.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.399
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$20.39
Resistance
$37.54
Bollinger %B
-0.20
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.99
Below
EMA 21
$33.77
Below
EMA 50
$34.43
Below
EMA 200
$33.03
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
81
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
6.7×
P/B Ratio
1.43×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
2.65%
52W High
$43.81
52W Low
$20.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
2122.1%
ROA
1080.2%
Gross Margin
4105.5%
Operating Margin
2031.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 6.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.2%; Return on assets of 10.8%; Net margin of 14.5%; Gross margin of 41.1%; Current ratio of 2.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.44; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.06); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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