KNF · NYSE · STOCK
Knife River (KNF) Stock Analysis
$55.60
52W $55.27 – $96.28
52/100
$3.21B
23.0
0.52
Is KNF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Knife River Corporation (KNF) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -8.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 21 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -8.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.1 to 52.1.
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.9
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.269
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$47.30
Resistance
$67.29
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$58.96
Below
EMA 21
$62.29
Below
EMA 50
$68.12
Below
EMA 200
$76.35
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
49
Profitability
28
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.0×
P/B Ratio
2.00×
PEG Ratio
-2.49
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$96.28
52W Low
$55.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
957.4%
ROA
430.4%
Gross Margin
1788.2%
Operating Margin
838.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.6%; Return on assets of 4.3%; Net margin of 4.2%; Gross margin of 17.9%; Current ratio of 2.66 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.76); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 32.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-350.0% -> +155.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -13.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full KNF Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →