KNX · NYSE · STOCK
Knight-Swift (KNX) Stock Analysis
$64.45
52W $41.24 – $82.86
54/100
$10.49B
240.2
1.21
Is KNX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Knight-Swift (KNX) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.95 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.05 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 245.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -74.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.86 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 245.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -74.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.86 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 54.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.076
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$59.39
Resistance
$79.24
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.87
Below
EMA 21
$65.81
Below
EMA 50
$67.75
Below
EMA 200
$64.81
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
68
Profitability
6
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
240.2×
P/B Ratio
1.50×
PEG Ratio
-3.27
Dividend Yield
1.21%
52W High
$82.86
52W Low
$41.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
93.1%
ROA
55.2%
Gross Margin
2475.3%
Operating Margin
319.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 240.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of -3.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.9%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 24.8%; Current ratio of 0.88 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.38; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.99); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-71.0% -> +600.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 80.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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