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KRMN · NYSE · STOCK

Karman Holdings (KRMN) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026
$32.62
52W $30.87 – $118.38
51/100
$4.32B
114.4
0.55
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
51/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+17.7%
-22.8%
0.78:1
Contested

Is KRMN Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Watch with a composite score of 51/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.59 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.41 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 152.5% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 116.2 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • EPS growing 152.5% YoY — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 116.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 25.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.52 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.52) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst bearish
28 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 116.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 152.5% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
46 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.52) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
66 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 51.3 to 51.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
43.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.437
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$25.20
Resistance
$38.40
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.82 Below
EMA 21
$34.95 Below
EMA 50
$40.71 Below
EMA 200
$56.36 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
33
Growth
66
Profitability
31
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio 114.4×
P/B Ratio 10.26×
PEG Ratio 0.31
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $118.38
52W Low $30.87
Quality & Growth
ROE 453.8%
ROA 152.0%
Gross Margin 4166.8%
Operating Margin 1681.9%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 2.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 114.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.3x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.5%; Return on assets of 1.5%; Net margin of 6.3%; Gross margin of 41.7%; Current ratio of 3.56 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.08; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.21); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.8%; EPS growth accelerating (+0.0% -> +27.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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