LBRT · NYSE · STOCK
Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Analysis
$16.59
52W $11.52 – $34.48
56/100
$2.73B
22.1
0.61
Is LBRT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.25 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- EPS declining -43.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 67%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -43.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 63.0 to 56.2.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst, Risk Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 80->58 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 46->31 (-15); +3 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
23.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.119
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$15.86
Resistance
$19.20
Bollinger %B
-0.20
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$18.45
Below
EMA 21
$18.88
Below
EMA 50
$19.89
Below
EMA 200
$22.21
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
94
Profitability
23
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.1×
P/B Ratio
1.39×
PEG Ratio
-0.51
Dividend Yield
2.16%
52W High
$34.48
52W Low
$11.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
711.3%
ROA
415.6%
Gross Margin
1288.0%
Operating Margin
78.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.1%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 2.9%; Gross margin of 12.9%; Current ratio of 1.99 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.82; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 659.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+75.0% -> +114.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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