LPX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Louisiana-Pacific
$75.92
52W $66.12 – $102.86
56/100
$5.49B
99.4
1.59
Is LPX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.48 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.4 to 56.5.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 55->60 (+4).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.557
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$78.11
Resistance
$79.55
Bollinger %B
0.98
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$75.67
Above
EMA 21
$74.95
Above
EMA 50
$74.85
Above
EMA 200
$79.22
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
42
Profitability
27
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
99.4×
P/B Ratio
3.15×
PEG Ratio
-1.22
Dividend Yield
1.48%
52W High
$102.86
52W Low
$66.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
843.4%
ROA
555.8%
Gross Margin
1803.1%
Operating Margin
372.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 99.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.4%; Return on assets of 5.6%; Net margin of 2.2%; Gross margin of 18.0%; Current ratio of 3.22 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.22; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.27); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 33.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+1166.7% -> +5.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -59.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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