LSTR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Landstar System (LSTR) Stock Analysis
$177.86
52W $119.32 – $228.46
56/100
$5.92B
45.2
0.89
Is LSTR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Landstar System (LSTR) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -19.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 45.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -19.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 45.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -19.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.1 to 56.1.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.284
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$172.87
Resistance
$177.84
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$178.34
Below
EMA 21
$182.08
Below
EMA 50
$187.95
Below
EMA 200
$176.29
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
38
Growth
40
Profitability
39
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
45.2×
P/B Ratio
7.07×
PEG Ratio
-2.37
Dividend Yield
2.09%
52W High
$228.46
52W Low
$119.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
1445.4%
ROA
703.0%
Gross Margin
1540.2%
Operating Margin
344.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 45.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.1x; PEG ratio of -2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.5%; Return on assets of 7.0%; Net margin of 2.6%; Gross margin of 15.4%; Current ratio of 1.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.18); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+65.7% -> +24.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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