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LUNR · NASDAQ · STOCK

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

Industrials Updated August 11, 2026
$16.48
52W $7.78 – $46.75
55/100
$2.63B
-18.5
1.83
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 4 analysts
Contested

Is LUNR Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Buy with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.11 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 39.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
  • Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 39.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 77%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 39.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
68.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.869
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$15.87
Resistance
$23.30
Bollinger %B
0.98
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.91 Above
EMA 21
$15.15 Above
EMA 50
$18.41 Below
EMA 200
$19.41 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Profitability
17
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio -18.5×
P/B Ratio -7.44×
PEG Ratio -0.85
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $46.75
52W Low $7.78
Quality & Growth
ROE 1113.0%
ROA -1100.1%
Gross Margin 2570.4%
Operating Margin -3480.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -1.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -18.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -7.4x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.1%; Return on assets of -11.0%; Net margin of -36.8%; Gross margin of 25.7%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.30; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.91); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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