MIDD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Middleby (MIDD) Stock Analysis
$106.00
52W $89.16 – $148.55
49/100
$4.79B
-11.4
1.33
Is MIDD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Middleby (MIDD) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -21.1% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -18.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -21.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 95%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -18.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -21.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.2 to 49.2.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.392
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$86.02
Resistance
$144.94
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$105.80
Above
EMA 21
$107.75
Below
EMA 50
$115.08
Below
EMA 200
$132.97
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
29
Profitability
11
Financial Health
90
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-11.4×
P/B Ratio
2.17×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$148.55
52W Low
$89.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1000.4%
ROA
-439.8%
Gross Margin
3804.1%
Operating Margin
-309.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.90
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -11.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -10.0%; Return on assets of -4.4%; Net margin of -13.2%; Gross margin of 38.0%; Current ratio of 1.99 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.90; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.93); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 16.1%; EPS growth decelerating (-10.7% -> -19.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -26.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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