MLI · NYSE · STOCK
Mueller Industries (MLI) Stock Analysis
$60.68
52W $48.44 – $71.12
65/100
$13.43B
15.5
1.09
Is MLI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Mueller Industries (MLI) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 8%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
90
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.0 to 65.0.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.120
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$56.30
Resistance
$69.64
Bollinger %B
0.47
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$61.18
Below
EMA 21
$61.35
Below
EMA 50
$62.15
Below
EMA 200
$60.63
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
51
Profitability
77
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.5×
P/B Ratio
3.72×
PEG Ratio
0.71
Dividend Yield
1.07%
52W High
$71.12
52W Low
$48.44
Quality & Growth
ROE
3067.1%
ROA
2535.5%
Gross Margin
2730.5%
Operating Margin
2160.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 30.7%; Return on assets of 25.4%; Net margin of 18.2%; Gross margin of 27.3%; Current ratio of 4.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+35.5% -> +20.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -42.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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