MLI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Mueller Industries
$69.13
52W $44.59 – $71.12
58/100
$15.23B
17.6
1.12
Is MLI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Mueller Industries (MLI) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -24.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 58.0.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 62->65 (+3); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.1
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.821
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$62.29
Resistance
$69.64
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$67.35
Above
EMA 21
$65.10
Above
EMA 50
$64.08
Above
EMA 200
$59.73
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Growth
51
Profitability
77
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.6×
P/B Ratio
4.22×
PEG Ratio
0.81
Dividend Yield
1.49%
52W High
$71.12
52W Low
$44.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
3067.1%
ROA
2535.5%
Gross Margin
2730.5%
Operating Margin
2160.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.2x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 30.7%; Return on assets of 25.4%; Net margin of 18.2%; Gross margin of 27.3%; Current ratio of 4.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+35.5% -> +20.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -42.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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