MMS · NYSE · STOCK
Maximus (MMS) Stock Analysis
$59.37
52W $51.04 – $100.00
49/100
$3.12B
8.7
0.59
Is MMS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Maximus Inc. (MMS) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.3 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -3.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 21.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -3.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 78 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -3.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 78 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.4 to 49.4.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
78.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.692
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$57.33
Resistance
$63.80
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$56.01
Above
EMA 21
$55.65
Above
EMA 50
$56.61
Above
EMA 200
$64.31
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
60
Profitability
55
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.7×
P/B Ratio
1.80×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
2.17%
52W High
$100.00
52W Low
$51.04
Quality & Growth
ROE
1905.8%
ROA
783.9%
Gross Margin
2438.2%
Operating Margin
1087.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.99
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.1%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 7.1%; Gross margin of 24.4%; Current ratio of 2.42 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.99; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.20); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+11.9% -> +7.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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