MPLX · NYSE · STOCK
MPLX Lp
$59.34
52W $47.80 – $60.95
59/100
$60.17B
12.7
0.45
Is MPLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MPLX Lp (MPLX) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.72 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.79) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 33.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 7.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.79 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.79) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.79 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.79) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 40 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.048
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$54.21
Resistance
$59.97
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.05
Above
EMA 21
$58.41
Above
EMA 50
$57.52
Above
EMA 200
$55.73
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Profitability
95
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.7×
P/B Ratio
4.29×
PEG Ratio
1.19
Dividend Yield
7.26%
52W High
$60.95
52W Low
$47.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
3434.7%
ROA
1142.2%
Gross Margin
5216.8%
Operating Margin
4290.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 12.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.3%; Return on assets of 11.4%; Net margin of 36.7%; Gross margin of 52.2%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.36); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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