MPWR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Stock Analysis
$1,277.33
52W $833.18 – $1714.09
58/100
$62.77B
77.9
1.66
Is MPWR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.18 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.82 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 28.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 20 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 75.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -57.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 21.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 75.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 28.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -57.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 57.8.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
7.268
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$1231.20
Resistance
$1568.21
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,208.51
Above
EMA 21
$1,233.62
Above
EMA 50
$1,291.35
Below
EMA 200
$1,251.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
83
Profitability
94
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
77.9×
P/B Ratio
16.11×
PEG Ratio
-1.36
Dividend Yield
0.56%
52W High
$1714.09
52W Low
$833.18
Quality & Growth
ROE
1744.1%
ROA
1468.5%
Gross Margin
5519.5%
Operating Margin
2872.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 77.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.1x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.4%; Return on assets of 14.7%; Net margin of 24.4%; Gross margin of 55.2%; Current ratio of 4.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+6.5% -> +27.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 54.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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