MSGS · NYSE · STOCK
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.
$392.94
52W $188.59 – $411.73
58/100
$9.47B
-421.4
0.58
Is MSGS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.73 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.27 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -6.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.45 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -6.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.45 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.237
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$305.15
Resistance
$410.72
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$392.98
Below
EMA 21
$392.54
Above
EMA 50
$383.66
Above
EMA 200
$325.02
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
12
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-421.4×
P/B Ratio
-32.16×
PEG Ratio
0.93
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$411.73
52W Low
$188.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
797.3%
ROA
-141.9%
Gross Margin
2287.5%
Operating Margin
-228.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-3.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -421.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -32.2x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.0%; Return on assets of -1.4%; Net margin of -2.1%; Gross margin of 22.9%; Current ratio of 0.46 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -3.95; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.26); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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