MSGS · NYSE · STOCK
Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) Stock Analysis
$403.22
52W $207.90 – $438.93
60/100
$9.69B
—
0.59
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MSGS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.51 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 1243.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only -6.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.50 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 1243.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.50 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.2 to 59.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.025
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$377.36
Resistance
$410.72
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$404.04
Below
EMA 21
$401.89
Above
EMA 50
$397.26
Above
EMA 200
$350.64
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
68
Profitability
7
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
-36.91×
PEG Ratio
14.56
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$438.93
52W Low
$207.90
Quality & Growth
ROE
-294.7%
ROA
50.5%
Gross Margin
2774.4%
Operating Margin
250.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-4.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 1257.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -36.9x; PEG ratio of 14.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.9%; Return on assets of 0.5%; Net margin of 0.7%; Gross margin of 27.7%; Current ratio of 0.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -4.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.39); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 87.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-329.4% -> +248.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1757.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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