TME · NYSE · STOCK
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
$8.71
52W $7.94 – $26.70
57/100
$13.40B
11.6
0.84
Is TME Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- EPS declining -6.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
- News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -6.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.025
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$8.44
Resistance
$15.32
Bollinger %B
0.10
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$9.38
Below
EMA 21
$9.27
Below
EMA 50
$9.25
Below
EMA 200
$12.29
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
84
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.6×
P/B Ratio
1.38×
PEG Ratio
-1.62
Dividend Yield
2.44%
52W High
$26.70
52W Low
$7.94
Quality & Growth
ROE
1376.2%
ROA
1077.7%
Gross Margin
4737.1%
Operating Margin
3454.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 11.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.8%; Return on assets of 10.8%; Net margin of 26.5%; Gross margin of 47.4%; Current ratio of 2.09 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.97); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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