MTZ · NYSE · STOCK
MasTec (MTZ) Stock Analysis
$212.54
52W $182.34 – $441.43
62/100
$17.08B
33.5
1.84
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MTZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MasTec (MTZ) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.90 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 86.3% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 86.3% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 32 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 35.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 24 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 21%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 35.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 86.3% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 57.8 to 61.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.707
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$185.28
Resistance
$223.79
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$217.49
Below
EMA 21
$222.41
Below
EMA 50
$248.08
Below
EMA 200
$281.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
82
Profitability
29
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.5×
P/B Ratio
4.78×
PEG Ratio
0.39
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$441.43
52W Low
$182.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
1224.3%
ROA
394.1%
Gross Margin
1146.8%
Operating Margin
579.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.8x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.2%; Return on assets of 3.9%; Net margin of 3.1%; Gross margin of 11.5%; Current ratio of 1.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.14); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-32.9% -> +59.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 49.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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