NEU · NYSE · STOCK
NewMarket (NEU) Stock Analysis
$883.08
52W $580.03 – $981.66
52/100
$8.14B
19.1
0.56
Is NEU Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NewMarket Corporation (NEU) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 24.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -1.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -7.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 24.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.5 to 51.5.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.140
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$729.69
Resistance
$980.15
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$888.44
Below
EMA 21
$891.63
Below
EMA 50
$869.52
Above
EMA 200
$774.66
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
48
Profitability
77
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.1×
P/B Ratio
4.52×
PEG Ratio
-2.37
Dividend Yield
1.36%
52W High
$981.66
52W Low
$580.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
2354.8%
ROA
1199.0%
Gross Margin
3149.4%
Operating Margin
1996.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of -2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.5%; Return on assets of 12.0%; Net margin of 15.8%; Gross margin of 31.5%; Current ratio of 2.25 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (53.07); EPS growth decelerating (+45.9% -> +15.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.8%
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