NFG · NASDAQ · STOCK
National Fuel Gas
$80.65
52W $75.17 – $97.06
61/100
$7.65B
11.1
0.39
Is NFG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates National Fuel Gas (NFG) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is current ratio of 0.44 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 98.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 169.0% YoY — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.44 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 98.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.44 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 23 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.5 to 60.5.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.238
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$77.90
Resistance
$83.60
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$81.03
Below
EMA 21
$80.81
Below
EMA 50
$80.70
Below
EMA 200
$82.51
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
40
Profitability
79
Financial Health
90
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.1×
P/B Ratio
1.92×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
2.68%
52W High
$97.06
52W Low
$75.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
1675.5%
ROA
594.7%
Gross Margin
4900.4%
Operating Margin
4041.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.91
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.8%; Return on assets of 5.9%; Net margin of 27.0%; Gross margin of 49.0%; Current ratio of 3.20 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.91; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.37); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+31.6% -> -43.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.1%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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